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Any tree (even a variety selected for consistent fall color) can show variation from year to year. That said... if there's not even a HINT of red in the leaves, then chances are it's not true to type.
I agree with treedoc's assessment that stress-related morphological changes would most likely be the biggest things to show up.
My experience is that a red maple cultivar selected for red will show red regardless of stress, it just may not be intense and may certainly have some yellows and oranges mixed in, but if you're not seeing red in the leaf, I'd put money on it not being true to type.
That's my 2 cents.
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Jesse
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